Archive for August, 2009

Twitter Isn’t MySpace (in a bad or good way) - They’re different

If you want an easy way to think about the difference between social networks, here is how.  First, social networks are about three things. Following, sharing, and connecting.

  • Facebook is the social network for friends and family
  • LinkedIn is the social network for business contacts
  • Twitter is the social network for people you don’t know, but want to follow you when you share a 140 characters.

Now to MySpace and Twitter.  MySpace didn’t become irrelevant.  It’s like saying MSN and AOL aren’t relevant.  Perhaps they aren’t relevant to you, but to millions of people they’re important.  Very important.

Products and companies are always looking to become better.  To not ask how do we become better questions is irresponsible, just as it is to drive without hands.  So what do companies do?  They drive the car and discuss how to become better.  When they believe they have something better, they turn.

Does Twitter have a business?  I don’t know, but think they will.  Has the company publicly put growth over monetization.  Yes.  Does the board of Twitter discuss the strategic direction?  Absolutely - even though I’ve never attended a Twitter board meeting, I’m sure of this.  Are Twitter and MySpace relevant?  Yes.   Most of us can only dream of being so irrelevant.

Craigslist, The More I Learn, The More I Like

There is a great article in Wired about Craigslist.

Here are a few of my favorite things about Craigslist

  1. They have a leader that loves customer support
  2. They play to their strengths and repeat what works
  3. They have an undying belief in who they are and what they do
  4. They are contrarian in that less features is more

The 30 employees and $100 million in revenue is pretty impressive.  I recently read that it took Oracle 10 years and Microsoft 8 years to get to $50 million in revenue.  I didn’t adjust for the TVM, but did Craigslist beat them to the mark?  Craigslist was founded in 1995, and became a for profit company in 1999.  This year Craigslist will be 14 years old and $100 Million in revenues.  Very nice.

Gmail Blackberry Plugin is Disappointing

I read the news about the new Blackberry Gmail plugin and was excited.  I followed the instructions.  Deleted my Gmail account from BIS.  Re-added it.  Installed the plugin.  It works as advertised.  Labels, archiving and one way sync to your Gmail.

It’s the one way sync that is so disappointing.   Everything else works well, but then it falls short.  Just short enough that I switched back to the Google Blackberry app.  If it doesn’t sync both ways, then the Blackberry mail just gets too messy with emails that you already read in your Gmail web app, but are marked as new on the Blackberry.

As soon as two way sync works, I’ll be using it.

Fiber for your Intestines

The Dr. told me I need to eat more fiber.  Must be getting old.  So I did a little research on high fiber foods.  I was surprised to learn how much fiber there is in raspberries in particular.  I through together a list of fiber facts using the new HubPages Quiz Capsule - very exciting!

List of High Fiber Foods - Fruits, Vegetables, and Cereals

It’s So Easy to Make a Website Another Market has been Crushed

Entrepreneurs created tools to make websites so easy and inexpensive to create that just about anyone can do it in a few minutes.  If you think about this from a simple business perspective, the cost is so low to create a site, and distribute it, that the site only needs to make a very small CPM from advertising to support it (cover the cost of running it).  And.  If you have a really large site, that the incremental cost of serving a page is even less, so you can still make a positive gross margin and charge an even lower CPM.

I’ve made this point before.  Technologist have done their job in the web publishing space.  We’ve taken a market (content management/site creation) and totally disrupted it by making it so easy and inexpensive through content managment tools and hosted services.  Now that we are paying less to create sites, we have to expect to make less from advertising to support them, because the competition has already done that.  UGC sites at scale are supporting themselves under a .50 cent CPM.  As a publisher, we have to compete at that price, or we will die over time.

There is still the cost of creating content and managing it.  As these costs get greatly reduced, I think we can expect sites to charge advertisers even less.  Our prediction is CPMs will continue to decrease as a function of supply increasing (time online), and as costs decrease across content management systems, creating content, and managing/programming of content.

In the end, it will be the most efficient publishers that survive.

Make Selling Advertising Easy

Offering the right product to the right customer and then delivering on the performance.   I had a call a few weeks ago that offered us advertising to reach our target market.  I quickly said we would do a trial buy.  Now all they have to do is deliver on the performance and we will buy advertising from them as long as it performs.

Either this salesmen did a great job prospecting.  Or he just got lucky.  But three things stood out for me.  First, he was offering me something to help me grow my business that was performance based (CPC).  Second, it required little work for me and third, the performance can easily be tracked by our reporting system (converted to a CPA).

When all of these things line up, we will do a test buy.

Fitting in Exercise

I have a personal goal to exercise three times per week this year.  So far, I’ve been a little behind schedule, but I’ve recommitted since getting through some digestive issues (gut pain).  I’ve been looking for an exercise plan to build strength, relax a bit, and help my guts.  I was introduced to Bikram Yoga.  Just four classes in now.  I’m nowhere near touching my toes, but my guts have never felt better.

I love the repetition of the class.  Each time you do the same exercises in the same order.  I love the heat.  It reminds me of finishing basketball practice soaked in sweat.  I also like that after I cool down, I feel relaxed.

I’m hoping I can keep fitting in the classes with my work schedule.  Next week, I’m on the road in NYC.  Maybe there is a studio I can drop in during the evening.

Bottoms Up vs Top Down Modeling

We’ve been modeling opportunities bottoms-up and top-down.  Bottoms up modeling involves taking real data, known trends, some assumptions and forecasting an opportunity.

Top down modeling involves taking an idea, looking at a market size, and making assumptions on what part of the market the idea can address.

I think top down modeling is good for a dream, when you’re just starting out, and to get people energized around a new direction.

Bottoms up is is good when more precision is needed, when the opportunity is a natural extension of an existing product, or when the assumptions can be vetted through real data.